Archive for category: Thought Leadership

The Cipher Brief: Book Review of “If Confirmed”

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CSIS Event Video: The Next Generation of National Security Leaders – A Conversation with Major General Arnold Punaro

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“If Confirmed: An Insider’s View of the National Security Confirmation Process” by Arnold Punaro Now Available for Pre-Order

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CSIS Event with Arnold Punaro on May 22: The Next Generation of National Security Leaders

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Another Continuing Resolution … Then What?

November 15, 2023

Thought Leadership

The House voted to extend the current Continuing Resolution (CR) that expires 17 November. If passed by the Senate, Congress will have once again succeeded in avoiding an impending government shutdown. And that is certainly a good thing. 

But pretty quickly, we’ll need to focus on where we go from here to ensure our nation’s security is protected in the very near future. 

The current House GOP funding plan includes two steps: (1) A CR that extends funding for MilCon/VA, Transportation/HUD, Agriculture/FDA and Energy/Environment to 19 January 2024, and (2) A CR that extends funding for all other government functions to 2 February 2024. Neither CR would contain any emergency supplemental funding for Israel, Ukraine, or border security.  It’s important that everyone understands that operating under a CR prevents new program starts, resulting in both programmatic delays and misaligned funding, which harms our military and our industry. For DoD, this will be 4 months of lost purchasing power, a total of over $12 billion, not including inflation. 

Under the Fiscal Responsibility Act (FRA) passed earlier this year, if all 12 appropriations are not passed, then all agencies will be funded at FY23 levels minus a 1% penalty. If the CR extension plan is passed, two potential scenarios remain for full year funding: (1) A full year CR at FY23 levels and a 1% penalty of roughly $8 billion in FY24, or (2) All 12 appropriations are passed by the House and Senate after having their funding levels negotiated for FY24, and FY25 levels would be capped at 1% increase. Neither of these options provides the funding necessary for Defense leaders to enact the National Defense Strategy and properly prepare our warfighters for future conflicts. 

The bottom line is that given the gridlock in Washington (remember neither the House or the Senate have passed their versions of all of the appropriations bills), Congress should start working NOW on how they move forward to do their work and avoid these potentially damaging steps following the action this week.  Don’t forget that nobody believed the disastrous sequester would actually be implemented—until it was. The risk of a year-long CR for defense at the penalty level is real.  As many are doing, I implore Congress to get its act together before it’s too late. 

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Atlantic Council Issue Brief: The Draft Ended Fifty Years Ago. Can the All-Volunteer Force Survive Another Fifty?

September 11, 2023

Thought Leadership

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Washington Examiner: Sen. Tuberville, Give the Pentagon the Uniformed Leaders Needed to Deal with the China Threat

Read the Restoring America Editorial by Arnold Punaro


Atlantic Council: Roles of the Chairman and Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

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Arnold Punaro White Paper: National Security in Divided Government

As we view the results of the recent 2022 midterm election, it is useful to consider what the implications might be for the US defense establishment and its supporting industrial base. Read Arnold Punaro’s National Security in Divided Government white paper for his detailed analysis.


National Defense: NDIA Perspective – A Steady Path Forward for the Association

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